Grayscale's 2026 outlook predicts the 20 millionth Bitcoin will be mined in March 2026, marking a significant milestone in Bitcoin's supply schedule.
High
event
Mar 1
Trump Administration's Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Executive Order
In March 2026, the Trump administration issued an executive order creating a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve using seized coins, impacting Bitcoin's supply dynamics.
Analysts forecast accelerating Bitcoin ETF inflows exceeding $2.5 billion by March 2026, supporting price strength above $90,000 through 2026.
High
forecast
Mar 1
Lock-up Period Expiration for American Bitcoin Corp. Investors
The lock-up period for early investors in American Bitcoin Corp. expires in March 2026, which could lead to increased selling pressure or volatility in the company's shares and related Bitcoin market sentiment.
Medium
deadline
Mar 1
Trial of Bitcoin Rodney Burton for HyperVerse Ponzi scheme
The trial of Bitcoin Rodney Burton, charged for promoting the $1.89 billion HyperVerse Ponzi scheme, is scheduled for March 2026, which could influence market sentiment regarding crypto scams.
Medium
event
Mar 1
U.S. Federal Reserve Signals Steady Interest Rates into March 2026
The Federal Reserve's forward guidance suggests no rate changes until at least March 18, 2026, maintaining a cautious macroeconomic backdrop influencing Bitcoin market sentiment.
Medium
announcement
Mar 1
Arthur Hayes Predicts Bitcoin Price to Reach $200,000
Analyst Arthur Hayes forecasts Bitcoin could reach $200,000 by March 2026, citing Federal Reserve liquidity expansion and other macro factors.
Medium
announcement
Mar 1
Steak n Shake Bitcoin bonuses start for employees
Starting March 1, 2026, Steak n Shake employees begin receiving Bitcoin bonuses of $0.21 per hour, vesting after two years, adding $10 million BTC to the company's treasury.
Medium
launch
Tomorrow
Mar 2
Riot Platforms Conference Presentation in San Francisco
Riot Platforms planned a conference presentation on March 2, 2026, in San Francisco to discuss AI-driven data center expansion and mining operations, which could affect market perceptions and stock performance.
Medium
meeting
Wednesday, March 4
Mar 4
Expected Closure of Bitfarms Paraguay Asset Sale
Bitfarms Ltd. expects to close the sale of its 70-megawatt Bitcoin mining site in Paraguay within 60 days from January 3, 2026, marking its full exit from Latin America and signaling a strategic shift toward North American projects and AI/HPC infrastructure.
Brazil's B3 exchange extended crypto futures trading hours starting March 9, 2026, enhancing accessibility for institutional traders.
Medium
launch
Tuesday, March 10
Mar 10
U.S. Stimulus Checks Distribution
Anticipated U.S. stimulus payments of $1,000 per citizen funded by tariffs under President Trump are expected to be distributed on March 10, 2026, potentially injecting liquidity into markets and fueling Bitcoin price rallies.
High
event
Thursday, March 12
Mar 12
Sentencing of Caleb Ward for wire fraud
Caleb Ward, CEO of Geosyn Mining, faces sentencing for wire fraud in a Ponzi scheme defrauding investors of $4.5 million. The sentencing could impact investor confidence in Bitcoin mining.
High
event
Tuesday, March 31
Mar 31
Trump Media and Crypto.com Treasury Deal Close
The $6 billion Cronos treasury deal via Yorkville Acquisition Corp. is set to close in Q1 2026, renaming to Trump Media Group CRO Strategy, Inc.
High
deadline
Mar 31
Projected V-Shaped Recovery to $126,000-$130,000 by Q1 End
Bitcoin is projected to recover to $126,000-$130,000 by the end of Q1 2026, supported by rate cuts and inflows, indicating a strong bullish outlook.
High
forecast
Mar 31
CLARITY Act Senate Approval Expected
The CLARITY Act, passed by the House in summer 2025, is awaiting Senate approval expected by the end of Q1 2026, aiming to integrate crypto into traditional finance more seamlessly.
High
deadline
Mar 31
Fundstrat's Tom Lee Anticipates Possible Drawdown in H1 2026
Fundstrat's Tom Lee forecasts a potential drawdown to $60,000-$65,000 in the first half of 2026, signaling cautious investor sentiment amid expected bullish yield in Q1 2026.
Medium
other
Mar 31
Potential Confirmation of Downside if Bitcoin Closes Below Resistance by March End
A close below critical resistance levels by the end of March 2026 could confirm downside risks for Bitcoin, signaling a bearish trend after exiting a descending channel.
Medium
deadline
Mar 31
ProShares ETF Filing Effective Date
ProShares filed for related ETFs with an effective date of March 31, 2026, potentially increasing institutional access to crypto investment products.
Medium
deadline
Mar 31
End of zero-fee promotion for Ripple USD stablecoin trading
The zero-fee promotion for Ripple USD stablecoin trading by OSL ends on March 31, 2026, which could affect trading volumes and liquidity in the stablecoin market.
Low
deadline
Mar 31
Hyperscale Data Plans Subsidiary Divestment
Hyperscale Data aims to divest a subsidiary in Q3 2026 as part of its Digital Asset Treasury strategy to reach $100 million in Bitcoin holdings.
